Ukraine's banking system, while stable, is too small and undercapitalized to drive the country's post-war recovery, according to Oleksandr Pysaruk, Board Chairman of Raiffeisen Bank Ukraine. With total assets at about 60% of GDP and a loan portfolio at only 15%, significant recovery efforts will require attracting international creditors and investors, as the banking sector alone cannot meet the estimated $486 billion recovery costs. Pysaruk emphasizes the importance of maintaining a favorable corporate tax rate for banks and the role of international financial institutions in mobilizing necessary resources.
EUR/USD and GBP/USD have bounced off recent support levels as the US dollar weakens, with EUR/USD targeting a high of $1.0610 after recovering from a low of $1.0333. Meanwhile, EUR/GBP remains in a sideways trend, facing minor resistance at £0.8350. GBP/USD has also rebounded from a six-month low of $1.2488, with support now seen at $1.2597.
Raffles Family Office has appointed Barry Tse, a former UBS banker, as its managing director of relationship management in Hong Kong. Tse will focus on expanding the firm's business, noting a growing trend among private banking clients to adopt multi-family office services to enhance their traditional banking relationships.
Asian markets showed mixed results amid global economic uncertainty, with Japan's Nikkei rising 0.8% and the Topix up 1.0%, driven by a weak yen. In contrast, China's Shanghai index fell 0.3% as investor sentiment remained fragile due to fears of a potential tariff war linked to US policies. Notably, Tokyo Electron surged 6.45%.
UBS analysts report that Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) are adopting a "risk-on" approach, favoring U.S. equities over European and Latin American stocks. This positioning reflects a divergence in market sentiment, with CTAs also selling U.S. and Japanese bonds while anticipating inflows into European bonds. Additionally, CTAs are bullish on energy and agricultural commodities, maintaining a strong preference for the U.S. dollar amidst global economic uncertainties.
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AAM) will present at the UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference on December 4, 2024, at 1:00 p.m. ET. The presentation will be webcast live on AAM's Investor Relations page, with a replay available afterward. AAM, a leading Tier 1 automotive supplier, focuses on driveline and metal forming technologies for various vehicle types.
easyJet plc, a leading low-cost airline in Europe, reported carrying 82.8 million passengers in 2022/23, with passenger transport accounting for 63.9% of its sales. As of September 2023, the airline operates a fleet of 336 aircraft, with the UK contributing 53.2% of its sales, followed by other European regions.
The FTSE MIB has retreated to significant support at 33,000 points, losing over 6% since mid-October amid concerns over a potential Trump victory and its implications for global trade. The risk/reward ratio favors buyers, with a rebound target set at 35,000 points. Developments in the European economy, particularly a CDU/CSU victory in Germany, could further influence market sentiment.
EUR/JPY and USD/JPY have declined amid speculation that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates next month, while AUD/USD has bounced off its November low at $0.6435, targeting a rise towards $0.6549. EUR/JPY's recent drop has neutralized its medium-term outlook, with potential downside targets at ¥158.11, while resistance is noted between ¥161.49 and ¥162.35. For USD/JPY, minor resistance is identified around ¥153.29.
The FTSE MIB faces pressure amid concerns over Donald Trump's tariff threats, testing crucial support at 33,000 points after a 6% decline since mid-October. A rebound could target 35,000 points, with the market's direction hinging on global economic trends and potential political shifts in Germany.
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